Sunday, 28 March 2021

Oscar 2021 Predictions

Unfortunately for UK viewers, many of the films nominated at the 93rd Academy Awards have yet to be released, either digitally or in cinemas, including Chloé Zhao’s intimate travelogue Nomadland and the Carey Mulligan-starring rape-revenge Promising Young Woman. Several Netflix-produced features have been available for some time now, including David Fincher’s black-and-white paean to Classical Hollywood, Mank, and Aaron Sorkin’s much over-hyped The Trial of the Chicago 7, which fetches a surprising six nominations.

After much criticism over recent years, this year’s nominations finally show a greater level of diversity – although not quite the range boasted in the Baftas – particularly in the acting and directing categories. However, despite Hildur Guðnadóttir’s triumph with her brooding score for Joker last year, the total absence of women from this year’s best original score shamefully takes the awards two steps back. Likewise, I can’t help but feel that Mank, whilst lovingly made by Fincher and his late father, is regrettable evidence that Hollywood will quite happily reward anything about itself, often instead of more-deserving and smaller releases.

 

Nevertheless, I am particularly happy to see Jasmila Žbanić’s astonishing and scorching Quo Vadis, Aida? nominated in the best international feature film category, as well as nominations for Daniel Kaluuya and Lakeith Stanfield in the furious Judas and the Black Messiah.

 

Best actress in a supporting role

Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm – should win

Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy – will probably win

Olivia Colman, The Father

Amanda Seyfried, Mank

Yuh-Jung Youn, Minari

 

Best costume design

Emma – should win

Mank – will probably win

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Mulan

Pinocchio

 

Best original score

Da 5 Bloods

Mank – will probably win | should win

Minari

News of the World

Soul

 

Best adapted screenplay

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm 

The Father

Nomadland – will probably win | should win

One Night in Miami 

The White Tiger

 

Best original screenplay

Judas and the Black Messiah

Minari 

Promising Young Woman – should win

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7 – will probably win

 

Best actor in a supporting role

Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7

Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah – will probably win | should win

Leslie Odom, Jr, One Night in Miami

Paul Raci, Sound of Metal

Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah

 

Best documentary

Collective

Crip Camp

The Mole Agent

My Octopus Teacher – should win

Time – will probably win

 

Best international feature film

Another Round – will probably win

Better Days

Collective

The Man Who Sold His Skin

Quo Vadis, Aida? – should win

 

Best sound

Greyhound

Mank

News of the World

Sound of Metal – will probably win | should win

Soul

 

Best production design

The Father

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Mank – will probably win

News of the World

Tenet – should win

 

Best cinematography

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

News of the World

Nomadland – will probably win | should win

The Trial of the Chicago 7

 

Best actor in a leading role

Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal – should win

Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – will probably win

Anthony Hopkins, The Father

Gary Oldman, Mank

Steven Yeun, Minari

 

Best actress in a leading role

Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Andra Day, The United States vs Billie Holiday 

Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman – should win

Frances McDormand, Nomadland – will probably win

Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

 

Best director

Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round

Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman

David Fincher, Mank

Lee Isaac Chung, Minari

Chloé Zhao, Nomadland – will probably win | should win

 

Best picture

The Father

Judas and the Black Messiah

Mank

Minari

Nomadland – will probably win | should win

Promising Young Woman

Sound of Metal

The Trial of the Chicago 7

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